NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Phoenix is only 11-40 overall this season, with four wins in 25 attempts away from your home. In general, the Suns have retained a lot of their games close with an 11-14 record from the spread as the visiting team. They’re only 2-7 ATS this year and 13-28 ATS in their last 41 against divisional opponents.
The Lakers are 15-11 in their home floor so far this year. Overall, they’re 20-27 against the spread, including a 9-15 record against the spread at home. Oddly enough, they’re only 7-17 ATS when facing teams with a losing record. They’ve won and covered seven of the last 10 meetings between the teams, however.
1 thing we know for sure is that Phoenix has had a extremely tough time slowing down its competitors this year. The Suns are have enabled at least 120 points at backend losses, while giving up 111 points or more in each of the last seven losses. Devin Booker and Kelly Oubre Jr. have done their very best to carry Phoenix despite their bad defense. However, even with Booker averaging 25.2 points per match and Oubre averaging 17.2 points per game over the past seven days, the Suns have not managed to snap out of their funk.
One of their most important concerns right now is that they are playing without Deandre Ayton, T.J. Warren and De’Anthony Melton. That is two of the best three point-getters while Melton had been the team’s leading point guard. It’s a great deal to overcome to get a team that was terrible to start with.
Los Angeles Lakers
The challenge for the Lakers on Sunday night is that they could be without a lot more talent besides James. They are hoping Kyle Kuzma is ready to go after he missed Saturday’s practice and is thought of as a game-time choice for Sunday. Bear in mind, the team is currently without Lonzo Ball. James, Kuzma and Ball are three of the best four players on the team concerning minutes played.
That usually means the Lakers will need men Brandon Ingram and Ivica Zubac to carry the load — even if Kuzma plays. Ingram has averaged 19.3 points a game over the past week but he has mostly been a disappointment this season. He’s got a PER of just 11.9. Zubac has awarded the group a shot in the arm as he has averaged 17.8 points and 7.8 rebounds in his last four contests.
There’s no question that the Lakers are fighting and that they’ll be shorthanded. But, declines in the home to the Phoenix Suns — who is both shorthanded — are inexcusable. Look for the Lakers to win but the Suns to cover.
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